Despite cosmetic changes and experiments with hosts (or no host), the Oscars have remained largely rooted in tradition, producing a 20th-century TV show for a 21st-century audience. Coming off record-low ratings and with the film industry still reeling from a global pandemic, the burden for the 94th annual Academy Awards will be whether they can pivot to face present realities, and at this point how much good that will do.
Those are some of the questions facing the producers of the Oscars, ABC and the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, which has risked angering some of its members and endured criticism over plans to shake up the format by handing out eight awards during what amounts to a preshow, then editing those acceptance speeches into the telecast.
Yet other challenges loom over the March 27 presentation, which, despite an expansion to 10 best-picture nominees, has embraced streaming services but largely overlooked the kind of blockbusters that connect with the widest possible audience and, theoretically, might help entice those who aren’t regular Oscar viewers to consider tuning in.
The issues surrounding this year’s awards won’t all be answered when the envelopes get opened on Oscar night. But here are six things to consider before, during and after:
Can the ratings rebound?
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From left, producer Peter Spears, actress Frances McDormand, director Chloé Zhao, producer Mollye Asher and producer Dan Janvey pose with their Oscars in the press room after their film “Nomadland” won best picture on Sunday, April 25.
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A trio of Oscar winners — from left, Yuh-jung Youn, Daniel Kaluuya and Frances McDormand — pose together in the press room. Youn won best supporting actress for her role in “Minari.” Kaluuya won best supporting actor for his role in “Judas and the Black Messiah.” And McDormand won best actress for “Nomadland.”
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Actor Bryan Cranston recognizes some of the vaccinated front-line workers who were at the Dolby Theatre on Sunday night. Cranston was presenting the Jean Hersholt Humanitarian Award to the Motion Picture and Television Fund for the group’s help and assistance to productions during the coronavirus pandemic.
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Yuh-jung Youn holds her best supporting actress Oscar as she stands next to presenter Brad Pitt in the press room.
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People watch Youn’s acceptance speech from a railway station in Seoul, South Korea. She’s the first South Korean actress to win an Oscar.
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Actress Olivia Colman poses for a photo while attending an Oscars screening in London. Many of the nominees were in Los Angeles, but some appeared remotely because of the Covid-19 pandemic.
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Travon Free, left, and Martin Desmond Roe accept the Oscar for the short film “Two Distant Strangers.” Their shoes and the inside of their jackets carried the names of George Floyd, Breonna Taylor and other people killed by police violence.
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Nominees attend an Oscars screening in Paris.
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From left, Jon Batiste, Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross enter the press room after winning the Oscar for best original score (“Soul”).
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Lakeith Stanfield, a best supporting actor nominee, is interviewed in London.
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Actress Reese Witherspoon enters the Oscars press room. She was one of the award presenters.
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Best actor nominee Gary Oldman was among those in London.
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Chloé Zhao accepts the best director Oscar for “Nomadland.” She is the first woman of color and the first woman of Asian descent to win best director. “This is for anyone who has the faith and the courage to hold out to the goodness in themselves and to hold out to the goodness in each other, no matter how difficult it is to do that,” she said in her acceptance speech. “You inspire me to keep going.”
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Anders Hammer, director of the Oscar-nominated documentary “Do Not Split,” takes part in the show from Oslo, Norway.
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From left, Mia Neal, Jamika Wilson and Sergio Lopez-Rivera pose with the Oscars they won for best makeup and hairstyling (“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”).
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Director Thomas Vinterberg accepts the Oscar for best international feature film, which went to his film “Another Round.” He said this was “beyond anything I could ever imagine — except this is something I’ve always imagined, since I was 5.”
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Phillip Bladh, holding the best sound Oscar for “Sound of Metal,” enters the press room in Los Angeles.
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Florian Zeller, speaking remotely from Paris, holds the Oscar he won for best adapted screenplay (“The Father”).
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Songwriters Fat Max Gsus, left, and Savan Kotecha appear on the show from Stockholm, Sweden.
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Daniel Kaluuya examines his best supporting actor Oscar, which he won for his role as Black Panther leader Fred Hampton in “Judas and the Black Messiah.”
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“Pinocchio” makeup artist Dalia Colli and hair designer Francesco Pegoretti appear on the show from Rome.
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Emerald Fennell won the first Oscar of the night, for best original screenplay (“Promising Young Woman”). “I’m trying very hard not to cry because, as an English person … I don’t cry ever,” she joked.
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Actor Sacha Baron Cohen is cleaned up by his wife, Isla Fisher. They appeared on the show from Sydney.
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People attend a drive-in Oscar party in West Hollywood.
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Actress and director Regina King opened the show at Union Station. She delivered a hopeful monologue and said that if things had gone differently in the trial of former Minneapolis police officer Derek Chauvin, she probably would have been out marching instead of presenting. “As a mother of a Black son, I know the fear that so many live with — and no amount of fame or fortune changes that,” she said.
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Attendees prepare for the beginning of the show at Union Station in Los Angeles.
From left, Nina Parker, Brad Goreski and Zanna Roberts Rassi were part of the panel for the E! channel’s red-carpet show.
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Actress Laura Dern walks the red carpet before the show.
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Best actress nominee Viola Davis and her husband, Julius Tennon, are seen on the left after arriving on the red carpet.
And if not, then what? After dropping to a mere 10 million viewers last year – suffering a decline of more than 50% that mirrored other award shows during the pandemic – the Oscars are surely hoping to rebound, at least a bit. But with broadcast ratings shrinking overall a major boost appears unlikely.
The Academy’s decision to change the format to mollify ABC, which broadcasts the show, has created some buzz about finding a different TV home, one that will celebrate artistry without as much concern about ratings. But since the network’s annual fee covers the organization’s budget, such a shift would require a major investment by a new platform and potentially dilute the audience even further.
What everyone appears reluctant to acknowledge, seemingly, is that media has become a fragmented world, and other than the Super Bowl, shared events – which the Oscars once qualified as – are increasingly becoming a thing of the past.
Will time-crunching categories work?
The protests over moving awards in mostly technical categories was predictable, but it reflects a perhaps belated nod to a fact other award shows have long since recognized: People watch to see stars, not film editors or sound technicians.
That said, there’s no clear evidence a faster-paced, more entertainment-oriented broadcast will jumpstart the ratings, in which case the Academy will have alienated members without a clear benefit.
Does Netflix fulfill its push for Oscar recognition?
After conquering the Emmys, Netflix began a concerted push for Oscars – starting with “Roma” in 2019, the first of its seven best-picture nominees including this year’s – despite resistance within the Academy to fully recognizing streaming movies alongside their theatrical brethren.
Two years of a pandemic and heightened at-home viewing has helped erase those barriers. Although Netflix has challenged with films like “Roma,” “The Irishman” and “Mank,” a win by perceived frontrunner “The Power of the Dog” would mark the culmination of that strategy. And just to add extra suspense, the main competition could be a film from another streamer, Apple TV+’s “Coda,” an uplifting crowd-pleaser that has the momentum of winning the Producers Guild and Screen Actors Guild awards, even if people didn’t watch it with crowds.
Will this be remembered as a weak movie year?
Some Oscar years look better than others with the benefit of hindsight, as evidenced by those still grousing about “Crash” or “The Shape of Water” winning best picture.
Will a year that anointed “The Power of the Dog,” a compelling but very slow-moving movie, or the small-boned “Coda,” be viewed charitably in the future? We’ll see, although given the lack of consensus and the level of sniping directed at both films, there will be plenty of Monday-morning quarterbacking no matter which way voters go.
Past vs. present: Finding the right balance
The Oscars historically mix old and new, and this year will be no exception, with planned tributes to 60 years of the James Bond franchise and “The Godfather’s” 50th anniversary.
Older viewers that saw the Corleones in theaters, however, aren’t the audience that the Academy and ABC yearn to reach if they’re going to plant the seeds for the future. And the younger demographics they’re desperate to attract (in part because that’s what advertisers covet) aren’t seeing the movies that they’re watching – think “Spider-Man: No Way Home” – heavily represented much among the nominees.
Will a stunt with Twitter, allowing people to vote for a popular movie, help address that shortcoming? Or is it just symbolic of desperation, and a way to mount an end run on the Academy board shooting down a 2018 proposal for a “popular film” category?
Can the show inspire people to go to the movies?
Historically, a big part of the Oscars has been cheerleading for the movies, which has become more than just an academic exercise for studios and particularly theaters. Last year’s show introduced the hashtag #TheBigScreenIsBack and promoted seeing movies “the way you’ve always loved them.”
And then Oscar voters handed out best picture to “Nomadland,” which was mostly watched (to the extent it was at all) on Hulu. More evidence that for the Academy, a step forward usually comes with the risk of taking at least one back.