For a second consecutive week, favorites struggled to cover the number, specifically those playing at home. Early season trend that will level out with time or an avenue to profit moving forward? Only time will tell, but the ‘dogs have been barking thus far in 2021, covering in 21 of 32 games, including 9 of 16 in week 2. Five teams remain unbeaten against the spread through two weeks (Texans, Panthers, Raiders, Broncos, Cowboys).
AFC East
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 1-1
What we know: The Bills have dominated the Dolphins in recent memory and the week after that domination has been a print-fest for over bettors. In four of the past five instances where Buffalo played a regular season game the week following their meeting with Miami, the over has cashed.
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 0-2
What we know: Since the midway point of last season (Week 9), four teams have cashed eight unders … and two of them play in Foxboro on Sunday as the Saints come to town.
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 1-1
What we know: September 18, 2016. That was the last time a Dolphins road game in September went over the total (nine straight unders): they travel to Vegas this weekend to play the red-hot Raiders.
ATS: 0-2
O/U: 0-2
What we know: This feel familiar? The Jets have opened each of the past three seasons with consecutive losses against the spread (they went 0-6 ATS to start last season).
AFC North
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 2-0
What we know: The Ravens rebounded from not covering in Week 1 in Vegas to winning outright as an underdog in Week 2. They’ve now covered seven of their past eight regular season games, scoring at least 34 points in five of those games.
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 0-2
What we know: The Steelers lost 26-17 as 5-point favorites against the Raiders last week and have now dropped three of their past four home games ATS after covering seven of their previous nine at Heinz Field.
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 1-1
What we know: Under bettors cashed tickets last week when the Bears beat the Bengals 20-17 last week, the sixth time in nine Bengals games that the books have overshot the point total.
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 2-0
What we know: The Browns failed to cover last week (now 2-7 ATS in their past nine games as a 12-plus point favorite) and haven’t covered consecutive weeks since Weeks 3-5 last season.
AFC South
ATS: 0-2
O/U: 1-1
What we know:During their 17-game losing streak, the Jags are 6-11 ATS (2-6 when playing at home).
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 1-1
What we know: The Colts are 4-1-1 ATS in their past six when they are an underdog of more than a field goal.
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 1-1
What we know:The over has cashed in three straight Colts/Titans games and the road team has covered in all of those instances.
ATS: 2-0
O/U: 2-0
What we know: It’s rarely pretty, but that’s now four straight Texan games that have gone over the total (they’ve covered three of those games).
AFC West
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 0-2
The Chargers’ five game cover streak ended last week, as they lost 20-17 to the Cowboys as 3-point favorites.
ATS: 2-0
O/U: 0-2
What we know:Home field disadvantage? Since Week 2 of last season, the Broncos are 7-3 ATS on the road but a mere 3-4 at home.
ATS: 2-0
O/U: 1-1
What we know: The Raiders led the league with 13 overs last season (matching their total from the two seasons prior combined) and opened 2021 with another over. In Week 2, they made every effort to get there (20 points scored in the fourth quarter), but the under hit in their game against the Steelers.
ATS: 0-2
O/U: 2-0
What we know: Starting in Week 11 of 2019 and extending through Week 4 of last season, the Chiefs led the NFL in regular season covers (nine). Since then, they’ve covered a league-low four games.
NFC East
ATS: 0-2
O/U: 1-1
What we know: Washington has failed to cover three straight when they are favored but are 4-1 ATS (3-2 outright) in their last five as a ‘dog.
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 1-1
What we know: The Giants fell to 2-10 outright in their last 12 games that hit the over after Thursday night went over by 17 points (5-7 outright in their last 12 unders).
ATS: 2-0
O/U: 1-1
What we know: The Cowboys are just 5-16 ATS in their past 21 games (playoffs included) not played on Sundays. They host the Eagles on Monday night this week.
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 0-2
What we know: The Eagles are 9-3 outright in their past 12 Monday Nighters, but the over has cashed in just four of those instances.
NFC North
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 1-1
What we know: The Packers are 8-2 ATS in their past 10 primetime games.
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 1-1
What we know: Andy Dalton is just 6-9 ATS (2-13 outright) in his last 15 road starts … so this game gets a little more difficult for bettors with him out of the mix.
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 2-0
What we know: The over has hit in three straight Detroit games and in four of their past five (with the lone exception coming when the under hit by a single point against the Bucs in Week 16.
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 2-0
What we know: The over went unbeaten in Minnesota last season (7-0-1), with four of those games going at least 10 points over Vegas’ game total.
NFC South
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 0-2
What we know: The Saints are 1-1 against the spread and neither game has involved even a little bit of stress, as both games have had a cover margin north of 20 points.
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 2-0
What we know: Tom Brady and company have hit the over in both games this season and in five of their past seven (playoffs included). They nearly got to the game total (52) by themselves (48) in the big win against the Falcons last week.
ATS: 0-2
O/U: 1-1
What we know:Only the Jets (12) have seen opponents cover the number more times since the beginning of last season than the Falcons (11). Over that stretch, the Giants have covered 56% of their games.
ATS: 2-0
O/U: 0-2
What we know:The road team has covered both Thursday games this season and five of the past six dating back to last season.
NFC West
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 1-1
What we know: The Cardinals beat the Vikings last weekend but failed to cover, their eighth loss against the number in their past 11 games.
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 2-0
What we know: The Rams are 5-2 ATS in their past seven home games (3-4 in their past seven on the road). They are hosting the Bucs in the second wave of games on Sunday.
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 0-2
What we know: The Seahawks have been great on the road outright since the beginning of 2019 (13-4), but that success hasn’t carried over to the ATS market (8-8-1).
ATS: 1-1
O/U: 1-1
What we know: The 49ers are at home for the first time this season … is that a good thing? They’ve failed to cover eight of their past 10 home contests and are far from healthy.